Baillon, Aurélien, Yoram Halevy, & Chen Li (2022) "
Randomize at your Own Risk: on the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion" Econometrica, vol 90:3, pp.1085-1107.
Van Der Zee, Sophie, Ronald Poppe, Alice Havrileck, & Aurélien Baillon (2022) "
A Personal Model of Trumpery: Linguistic Deception Detection in a Real-World High-Stakes Setting" Psychological Science, vol 33:1, pp.3-17.
supplemental material -
data & code - explanatory website
Baillon, Aurélien, Zhenxing Huang, Asli Selim, & Peter P. Wakker (2018).
"Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events" Econometrica, vol 86:5, pp.1839-1858.
online appendix -
dataset - stimuli & code
Baillon, Aurélien (2017). "Bayesian markets to elicit private information." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 114:30, pp. 7958–7962.
Abdellaoui, Mohammed, Aurélien Baillon, Laetitia Placido, & Peter P. Wakker (2011),
" The rich domain of uncertainty: source functions and their experimental implementation,"
American Economic Review, vol. 101:2, pp. 699-727.
background material
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, & Georg-Dura Granic, (2022) "Incentives in surveys," Journal of Economic Psychology, vol. 93, 102552.
dataset.
Baillon, Aurélien, Owen O'Donnell, Stella Quimbo, S., & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) "Do time preferences explain low health insurance take-up?," Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 89:4, 951-983..
Baillon, Aurélien, Yoram Halevy, & Chen Li (2022) "
Randomize at your Own Risk: on the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion" Econometrica, vol 90:3, pp. 1085-1107.
Van Der Zee, Sophie, Ronald Poppe, Alice Havrileck, & Aurélien Baillon (2022) "
A Personal Model of Trumpery: Linguistic Deception Detection in a Real-World High-Stakes Setting" Psychological Science, vol 33:1, pp. 3-17.
supplemental material -
data & code - explanatory website
Baillon, Aurélien, Joseph Capuno, Owen O'Donnell, Carlos Antonio Tan Jr., & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) "Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment," Journal of Health Economics, vol 81, 102580.
Baillon, Aurélien, Yoram Halevy, & Chen Li (2022) "
Experimental Elicitation of Ambiguity Attitude using the Random Incentive System." Experimental Economics, vol 25, pp. 1002-1023.
Baillon, Aurélien, Aleli Kraft, Owen O'Donnell, & Kim van Wilgenburg (2022) "A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance," Journal of
Risk and Uncertainty, vol 64:1, pp. 43-87.
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu, Johannes Jaspersen, & Richard Peter (2022). "When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention." Operations Research, vol 70:3, pp. 1371-1392.
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, Chen Li, & Peter P. Wakker (2021) "Belief hedges: Measuring ambiguity for all events and all models."Journal of Economic Theory,vol 198, 105353.
Baillon, Aurélien & Olivier l'Haridon (2021). "Discrete Arrow–Pratt indexes for risk and uncertainty." Economic Theory, vol 72, pp. 1375-1393.
Johnson, Cathleen, Aurélien Baillon, Han Bleichrodt, Zhihua Li, Dennie van Dolder, & Peter P. Wakker (2021) "Prince: An Improved Method For Measuring Incentivized Preferences."Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 62, pp. 1-28.
Baillon, Aurélien & Yan Xu (2021). "Simple bets to elicit private signals." Theoretical Economics, vol 16, pp.777–797.
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, & Vitalie Spinu (2020). "Searching for the reference point." Management Science, vol. 66:1, pp.93-112.
online appendix - dataset
Baillon, Aurélien, Jeroen de Bruin, Aysil Emirmahmutoglu, Evelien van de Veer, & Bram van Dijk (2019). "Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks." PLOS ONE, vol. 14:12, e0224216.
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien & Laetitia Placido (2019). "Testing constant absolute and relative ambiguity aversion."
Journal of Economic Theory, vol 181, pp.309-332.
supplementary material -
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien & Aysil Emirmahmutoglu (2018). "Zooming in on ambiguity attitudes." International Economic Review, vol. 59:4, pp.2107-2131.
dataset and instructions
Baillon, Aurélien, Zhenxing Huang, Asli Selim, & Peter P. Wakker (2018).
"Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events" Econometrica, vol 86:5, pp.1839-1858.
online appendix -
dataset - stimuli & code
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, Umut Keskin, Olivier l'Haridon, & Chen Li (2018). "The effect of learning on ambiguity attitudes." Management Science, vol. 64:5, pp.2181-2198.
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien, Harris Schlesinger, & Gijs van de Kuilen (2018). "Measuring higher order ambiguity preferences." Experimental Economics, vol. 21:2, pp.233-256.
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, Zhenxing Huang, & Rogier Potter van Loon (2017). "Measuring ambiguity attitude: (extended) multiplier preferences for the American and the Dutch population." Journal of
Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 54:3, pp. 269-281.
Baillon, Aurélien (2017). "Prudence with respect to ambiguity." The Economic Journal, vol. 127:604, pp. 1731-1755.
online appendix
Baillon, Aurélien (2017). "Bayesian markets to elicit private information." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 114:30, pp. 7958–7962.
Baillon, Aurélien, Ning Liu, & Dennie van Dolder (2017). "Comparing uncertainty aversion towards different sources." Theory and Decision, vol. 83:1, pp. 1-18.
corrigendum
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, Ning Liu, & Peter. P. Wakker (2016) "Group decision rules and group rationality under risk," Journal of
Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 52:2, pp. 99–116.
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien, Philipp Koellinger, & Theresa Treffers (2016) "Sadder
but wiser: the effects of affective states on ambiguity attitudes," Journal of Economic Psychology, vol. 53, pp.67-82.
Baillon, Aurélien & Olivier l'Haridon (2016) "Les Modèles d'Ambiguïté : Modèles et évaluations expérimentales
," Actualité Economique, vol. 92:1-2, pp.81-111
Baillon, Aurélien, & Han Bleichrodt (2015),
"Testing ambiguity models through the measurement of probabilities for gains and losses," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, vol. 7:2, pp. 77-100.
dataset -
online appendix -
corrigendum
Baillon, Aurélien, Han Bleichrodt, and Alessandra Cillo (2015), "A tailor-made test of intransitive choice,"
Operations Research, vol. 63:1, pp. 198-211.
dataset -
supplementary material
Baillon, Aurélien, Asli Selim, & Dennie van Dolder (2013), "On
the social nature of eyes: the effect of social cues in interaction and
individual choice tasks," Evolution and Human Behavior, vol. 34:2, pp. 146-154.
dataset -
electronic supplementary material
Baillon, Aurélien, Bram Driesen, and Peter P. Wakker (2012),
"Relative concave utility for risk and ambiguity," Games
and Economic Behavior, vol. 75:2, pp. 481-489.
Baillon, Aurélien, Laure Cabantous, and Peter P. Wakker (2012),
"Aggregating imprecise or conflicting beliefs: an experimental
investigation using modern ambiguity theories," Journal of
Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 44, pp. 115-147.
dataset
Baillon, Aurélien, Olivier l'Haridon, & Laetitia Placido (2011),
"Ambiguity models and the Machina paradoxes," American Economic Review, vol. 101:4, pp. 1547-1560.
Abdellaoui, Mohammed, Aurélien Baillon, Laetitia Placido, & Peter P. Wakker (2011),
" The rich domain of uncertainty: source functions and their experimental implementation,"
American Economic Review, vol. 101:2, pp. 699-727.
background material
Baillon, Aurélien (2008), "Eliciting subjective probabilities through exchangeable events: an advantage and a limitation,"
Decision Analysis, vol. 5:2, pp. 76-87.
dataset
Aydogan, Ilke, Aurélien Baillon, Emmanuel Kemel, & Chen Li, "How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices."